Grand Delusion

November 1, 2022

The Guardian's Ireland correspondent, Carroll chronicles the IRA's attempt to assassinate Margaret Thatcher in October 1984 in There Will Be Fire. Published on Israel's 75th anniversary, two-time National Jewish Book Award winner Gordis's Impossible Takes Longer considers whether Israel's founders achieved their goal of creating a national homeland that would transform Jewish life (60,000-copy first printing). In 1742, a ship landed on Brazil's coast with 30 starving men feted as survivors of the wrecked British warship the Wager--until three months later, when three stragglers on another ship landing in Chile claimed the Wager's men were mutineers; from the No. 1 New York Times best-selling Grann (Killers of the Flower Moon). Chair of medieval history at King's College, London, Heather offers new reasons why Christendom grew from a tiny sect persecuted within foundering fourth-century CE Rome to the religion dominating Europe 1,000 years later. Celebrated Czech novelist Kundera, who has lived in France since 1975, argues that the "small nations" of Europe--e.g., Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Ukraine--are culturally rooted in Europe and under Soviet rule constituted A Kidnapped West (40,000-copy first printing). Following the LJ-starred The Crown in Crisis, which chronicled the Abdication Crisis of 1936, British historian Larman's The Windsors at War moves on to King George VI and the conflict within the Windsor family during World War II as the Duke of Windsor cozied up to Hitler (40,000-copy first printing). From leading South African political commentator Malala, The Plot To Save South Africa covers the 1993 assassination of Nelson Mandela's prot�g� Chris Hani by a white supremacist hoping to ignite a war, even as Mandela had begun power-sharing discussions with President FW de Klerk. Good-bye, Eastern Europe broadly documents the region briefly called Eastern Europe, moving from pre-Christian times through the great empires (Ottoman, Hapsburg, and Russian), the rise of communism and fascism, and the post-Soviet era to Russia's invasion of Ukraine; A Polish-born contributor to the Atlantic, has a PhD in Eastern European history from Berkeley (25,000-copy first printing). Granted special access by Queen Elizabeth II to her parents' letters and diaries and to the papers of close friends and family, Smith, the New York Times best-selling author of Elizabeth the Queen, aims to show how a loving marriage helped George VI and Elizabeth lead a nation through war (50,000-copy first printing). From Simon, a former senior director for Middle Eastern and North African Affairs on the National Security Council, Grand Delusion tracks the four decades of oil-driven U.S. involvement in the Middle East, begun by the Reagan administration and moving through Desert Storm (which he challenges) to the Obama administration's step back. The acclaimed Winchester leaps nimbly from cuneiform writings through Gutenberg to Google and Wikipedia as he examines Knowing What We Know--that is, how we acquire, retain, and pass on information--and how technology's current capability to do those things for us might be threatening our ability to think (100,000-copy first printing).

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January 30, 2023
Hubris regularly begets disaster in this astringent history of American policy in the Middle East since 1980, in which former State Department official Simon (coauthor, The Sixth Crisis) surveys decades of American successes and failures in the region. The latter far outnumber the former and include the Reagan administration’s secret, illegal arms sales to Iran; George W. Bush’s Iraq War, which led to hundreds of thousands of deaths; Donald Trump’s self-defeating repudiation of Obama’s Iran nuclear deal, which ended up accelerating Iran’s nuclear program; and many feckless stabs at an Israeli-Palestinian peace plan. The author highlights persistent dysfunction in U.S. policy, including a tendency to resort to military coercion, policymakers’ rejection of lower-level experts who contradict their theories, and “a superimposition of grand ideas on antithetical Middle Eastern realities.” Stocked with sharply etched portraits of statesmen, Simon’s narrative elucidates complex issues in pithy, biting prose. (On the Iran-Iraq War: “Equally jarring is the idea that both the United States and the Soviet Union were supporting Iraq only because the prom queen—Iran—had spurned them.”) Simon’s insider savvy and bracing honesty make for an illuminating take on America’s vexed relationship with the region.

February 1, 2023
According to this comprehensive account, when it comes to Middle East policy, good intentions count for nothing. The entanglement of the U.S. in the Middle East goes back decades. Simon, who has worked in numerous key government roles related to foreign policy in the region, argues that despite the spending of huge amounts of blood and treasure, not much has been achieved. The chapters relate to presidential administrations, but the author often takes informative detours into the deeper history. Every president has started out with great aspirations, but each one has had to change course to accommodate shifting realities. Every country in the region has its own agenda and historic conflicts with neighbors, and their political systems are often dictatorial, unstable, and/or corrupt. For an external player to understand all of the factors involved is like trying to put together a jigsaw in a labyrinth of distorting mirrors. Simon threads his way through the chaos, noting the many agreements and treaties that have been meant to bring stability. Unfortunately, paper burns easily. In fact, American policy has seldom displayed a clear objective. Should the U.S. support Israel? Counter Soviet, and then Russian, influence? Build democratic governments? Tamp down the chronic violence? Protect sources of oil? All of these are relevant, which has meant that none has been very effective, and occasional, conditional successes have been offset by bloody failures. Simon sees the focus of U.S. foreign policy now moving toward Asia, with a growing realization that the idea of imposing a solution on the Middle East is a delusion. "A net assessment suggests that the United States would have been better off today if it had not been so eager to intervene in the Middle East," says Simon. "Fortunately, America's era there is drawing to a close, and probably not a moment too soon." As a frontline player in Middle East policy, Simon provides a sweeping, detailed analysis of failures and successes.

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